Archive - The Uncertainty Mindset (soon to become tbd)

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Reading the game

Most games are games of risk, not uncertainty — that's why they don’t prepare us well for real-world (= seriously consequential) situations of…

Sep 20 •

The "good" experiment

This issue is about design principles for good, viably sneaky experiments. Good experiments are an appropriate way to act when faced with both…

Sep 6 •

August 2023

This week, a break from my usual #content about partial knowledge, organisation, strategy, and things like that, for appreciations of three book series…

Aug 23 •

Ready for anything

The technologies and mechanisms of digitalisation are changing both quickly and unpredictably. To train people to be ready for digitalisation, we can’t…

Aug 9 •

July 2023

This issue is about how teams and organisations that are exposed to rapid, unpredictable change are spectacularly poorly served by conventional…

Jul 26 •

This issue is about human mRNA: the people who seek out connections that should exist but don’t, and who translate and move information around silo-ed…

Jul 12 •

June 2023

Brittleness is good when it reveals change quickly and enables cheap and easy adaptation to change. (Also featuring: on-the-fly roadside delivery…

Jun 28 •

Generative uncertainty.

Listen now (23 min). Uncertainty is always seen as a bad thing — but there is a good, generative side to uncertainty. Uncertainty is an inescapable…

Jun 14 •

May 2023

Finding the third way

This issue is about how we respond to the unknown with either false confidence or uncritical capitulation, and why we need a third way that navigates…

May 31 •

Overloading and appropriation

This newsletter issue is about how we use "risk" and "uncertainty" loosely, both overloading and appropriating them, and how overloading and…

May 17 •

Naming risky situations

This issue is about the hazards of informal definitions for "risk." And also more photos of rocks.

May 3 •

April 2023

The appreciation of rocks

This issue is about sensing when something has an inside which is coherent with its outside. It ranges over the Golden Triangle (of the Luberon), stone…

Apr 19 •

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